Confidential Letter Asie21-Futurible n° 173/2023-06 summary

1- MAJOR RECENT EVENTS AND FUTURE CHALLENGES

FAR EAST

China  China’s New Silk Roads. The difficult financial situation of lenders and borrowers, Patrick Hébert, Asie21

China – United States  A new bone of contention, Edouard Valensi, Asie21

China – United States  De-dollarization: upheaval or slogan? Edouard Valensi, Asie21

China – United States – Iran – Gulf States  A singular Alliance, Édouard Valensi

China – Russia – Ukraine  Variations on King Wheat in Eurasia, Maurice Rossin

South Korea – Pacific Islands

South Korea’s Pacific ambitions, Arnaud Leveau, Asie21

Box 1  A claim to Asian identity, Edouard Valensi, Asie21

Taiwan – United States – China  Campaigning for the 2024 presidential elections. « Family relationships are better than family quarrels. Xi Jinping is not China forever » (Ke P.), Catherine Bouchet-Orphelin, Asie21

Box 1  AIT President’s visit to Taiwan: a return to dialogue between USA-China and China-Taiwan

Box2  TVBS poll from June 14 to 16, 2023 on voting intentions for Taiwan’s presidential elections.

Taiwan – United States – China  Incidents in the South China Sea and Taiwan Strait: antithetical to the resumption of Sino-American dialogue? A question of method, Catherine Bouchet-Orphelin, Asie21

Box 1 Xi Jinping as dictator, who could have said that? Edouard Valensi, Asie21

Taiwan – Vietnam – United States – China  Renewed Vietnamese claim to Taiping Island (太平島)/Itu-Aba in the Spratlys, Catherine Bouchet-Orphelin, Asie21

SOUTHEAST ASIA

Indonesia  A peace proposal for Ukraine hits the nail on the head, Sophie Boisseau du Rocher

South China Sea – Taiwan – China – United States – Canada Increased and worrying Chinese aggressiveness, Daniel Schaeffer, Asie21

East Timor  ASEAN welcomes its 11e  member, Rémi Perelman, Asie21

Box 1 East Timor, country summary

Box 2 Birth and adolescence of a nation

Box 3  Understanding East Timor’s late accession to ASEAN

Box 4  East Timor and its two neighbors, Indonesia and Australia

Box 5  East Timor’s religious component

SOUTH ASIA

India  G20 tourism meeting in Srinagar », Alain Lamballe, Asie21

PakistaPakistan in turmoil, Alain Lamballe, Asie21

2- GRAPPILLAGES

Asia – United States Immigrants

China – Africa

  • Angola: the price of debt
  • Angola: suspicions
  • Guinea Bissau: fishing
  • Guinea Bissau: surprise
  • Equatorial Guinea: more sinecure
  • Mozambique: project 141

China – Brazil  Foot change

China – Brazil  Carbon

China – BRICS  As luck would have it

China – Mexico – United States Fentanyl

China – Portugal  One more

China – Russia  Collaboration

North Korea – Angola  Official Wagner

India – Pakistan – Mozambique Abductions

3- POINTS TO WATCH OUT FOR

Afghanistan  The Eastern Persians’ right to self-determination, Jean Perrin

India – Pakistan  Revision of India’s water policy towards Pakistan, Alain Lamballe, Asie21

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