Letter confidential Asie21-Futuribles nr 177/2023-11 English version

1- MAJOR RECENT EVENTS AND FUTURE CHALLENGES

EURASIE

Eurasia – Middle East Four corridors under the sign of avoidance, Rémi Perelman

Box 1 The four development corridors, details

Box 2 Time needed to transport goods between East Asia and Europe

FAR EAST

China – United States So that the yuan can soar, Edouard Valensi, Asie21

China – Hungary A portal to China, Edouard Valensi, Asie21

China – China Seas – United States Chinese violations of international airspace, Daniel Schaeffer, Asie21

Box 1  The deadly Sino-American air incident of 2001

North Korea – Russia An arms deal, Patrick Hébert, Asia 21

Japan – United States Four hundred missiles, Edouard Valensi

Taiwan Elections: Blue-White vs. Green. Big shake-up? Who will be the vase? Catherine Bouchet-Orphelin, Asie21

Box 1 The candidates: William Lai and the opposition (Hou You-ih, Ke P., Kuo Tai-ming)

Box 2 The Blue-White alliance and Kuo Tai-ming

Box 3 Foreign interference in the election campaign? The Buddha and the monkey

SOUTHEAST ASIA

ASEAN  First joint military manoeuvres: a signal or more? Sophie Boisseau du Rocher, Asie21

SOUTH ASIA

Pakistan Pakistan in turmoil, Alain Lamballe, Asie21

2- GRAPPLINGS

China

  • Copy
  • Technology

China – Africa

  • Angola – Australia: happy returns
  • Angola – Cabinda: danger
  • Equatorial Guinea: approaches
  • Equatorial Guinea: reconciliations
  • Niger: Democratic Republic of Congo beneficiary: question mark (continued)

China – Argentina Disappointment

China – Peru Location

India – Middle East A cautious commitment

Russia – Africa Betting on nuclear power

3 – POINTS TO WATCH

Bangladesh Adoption of the Cyber Security Act 2023, Laurent Amelot, Asie21

China – Zimbabwe Massive Chinese investment in lithium mines, Laurent Amelot, Asie21

North Korea Diplomatic withdrawal, Arnaud Leveau, Asie21

Kazakhstan – Central Asia – France – Russia – United States Kazakhstan at the center of external interests and covetousness, Jean Perrin, Asie21

4 – ALERTS

India – European Union European Union defense attaché appointed in India, Alain Lamballe, Asie21

Taiwan Taiwan must take steps to keep the peace, Catherine Bouchet-Orphelin, Asie21

5- THE LAMPREY’S WORDS

Asia – Africa – India – United States – Europe The world in crisis: climate and poverty, Maurice Rossin, Asie21

China – Argentina – Chile – Latin America Tango or tornado in Buenos Aires: we vote, Maurice Rossin, Asie21

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