Confidential Letter Asie21-Futuribles n° 179/2024-01 summary

1- MAJOR RECENT EVENTS AND FUTURE CHALLENGES

ASIA MIDDLE

Central Asia  Middle corridor, Rémi Perelman

Box 1 Recent meetings concerning Central Asia

FAR EAST

China Purge continues in the generals’ ranks, Daniel Schaeffer, Asie21

Box 1  Biographical details of new appointees in December 2023

Box 2 Generals dismissed on December 29, 2023

Box 3 Industrialists to be dismissed on December 29, 2023

China Space: 3e flight of Chinese space plane, Philippe Coué, Asie21

China  Moon: a new partner for the ILRS project, Philippe Coué, Asie21

North Korea Kim’s agriculture, Edouard Valensi, Asie21

Box 1 The Phyongan province livestock machinery factory

Japan The Ukrainian opportunity, Arnaud Leveau, Asie21

Japan – China A turbulent nuclear comeback, Edouard Valensi, Asie21

Box 1 Discharge of treated water at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant

Taiwan Act III: Missile or satellite? Cognitive operation or tartuffery? Catherine Bouchet-Orphelin, Asie21

Box 1 Alert from Taiwan’s Ministry of Defense on January 9, 2024

Taiwan Act IV: Presidential election results 2024: Ke P., uncertain factor, Catherine Bouchet-Orphelin, Asie21

Box 1 Hu Xijin’s statements

Box 2 Ke P.’s election campaign, Disney Land in Taiwan

SOUTHEAST ASIA

Indonesia Prabowo Subianto: well on track, Sophie Boisseau du Rocher, Asie21

SOUTH ASIA

Maldives – China – India The Maldives move closer to China and further away from India, Alain Lamballe, Asie21

2- GRAPPLINGS

Asia – Mozambique Asian tankers

China Forbidden games

China – Africa

⦿ Angola: danger

⦿ Angola – United States: a change of pace

⦿ Mozambique : islamic groups, Sinopec and JGE

⦿ Equatorial Guinea – Russia: approaches continue

⦿ Sao Tome and Principe: sea cucumbers

⦿ Sao Tome and Principe: exodus

China – Argentina Forget the chainsaw

China – Japan Fears

China – Japan Disinformation

China – Switzerland Renewal

India – Gambia Corruption

Russia – Guinea Bissau Opportunism

3 – POINTS TO WATCH

Burma – China New ceasefire in Burma under Chinese auspices, Jean Perrin, Asie21

China  World leader in AI by 2030, with help from Hong Kong, Patrick Hébert, Asie21

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