Confidential letter Asie21-Futuribles n° 162/2022-06
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Description
Knowing to understand, understand to anticipate, anticipate to decide, decide to act
1 – RECENT MAJOR EVENTS AND FUTURE CHALLENGES
China 2022: decisive year for Xi Jinping, Philippe Delalande, Asie21
China Space: Shenzhou-14, Philippe Coué, Asie21
China – United States Xi: « Joe, relax! » Edouard Valensi, Asia21
Japan: Its security needs, Patrick Hébert, Asia21
Box 1: Competitiveness problems of the Japanese arms industry
Taiwan – China – United States Shangri-La Dialogue: Hopes for Stability and Concerns about Instability in the Taiwan Strait and the Region, Catherine Bouchet-Orphelin, Asia21
Box 1: Indo-Pacific Partnership for Maritime Domain Awareness (IPMDA)
Taiwan – China – United States Maritime Law: Fighting back, Catherine Bouchet-Orphelin, Asia21
Box 1: Territorial waters, D. Schaeffer
Taiwan – United States: No American support for Taiwanese independence, Catherine Bouchet-Orphelin, Asie21
SOUTH ASIA
South Asia: Four ports between India and China, Rémi Perelman, Asie21
Pakistan – Afghanistan Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan, Pakistan and Afghanistan, Alain Lamballe, Asie21
INDO-PACIFIC
India – United States – Russia – China Could India’s reluctance to sanction Russia influence the Quad? Guillaume Bombenger, Asia21 guest author
Box 1: From the SDT to the AUKUS, what prerogatives?
Indo-Pacific Quad – Effervescence, Daniel Schaeffer, Asie21
Box 1: The message of the « peace and stability » part of the joint communiqué
Box 2: Behind the synthetic formulas, the concrete aspects of the program
Box 3: Military feverishness upstream, around, and downstream of the
2- GRAPPLING
China – Australia – Africa Lithium needs move the lines
China – India – Mozambique – Other countries Graphite
China – Japan – India – Mozambique Commitments
China – Japan – Mozambique – Other countries Dam in sight but far away
China – Switzerland Struggling
China – Switzerland Recovery
China – Ukraine Manner of expression
India – Mozambique – Brazil Things are moving in Moatize
East Timor Democrat
3 – ALERTS
Eurasia This is only the beginning (Это только начало), Maurice Rossin, Asie21
4 – POINTS TO WATCH
Eurasia Europe is closing to Russia … which is opening to Asia, Maurice Rossin, Asie21
Eurasia Ukrainian wheat : the danger is not where we think it is, Maurice Rossin, Asie21
India – Mauritius First Indian military base abroad, Alain Lamballe, Asie21
