Confidential letter Asie21-Futuribles n° 161/2022-05

Description

1 – RECENT MAJOR EVENTS AND FUTURE CHALLENGES

EURASIA

Black Sea  « The world is only a perennial wobble », Maurice Rossin, Asie21

Box 1  Half of the world’s population depends on the use of nitrogen fertilizers

Box 2  Nitrogen fertilizer movements in millions of tons, 2019 (FAO) 

Box 3  Major exporters of grains and fertilizers (FAO – USDA)

Box 4  Grain movement 2004-2021 production, export, storage in millions of tons 

Box 5  Production, export of vegetable oils 2021 (million tons)

Box 6 International trade in wheat, cereals, grains and fertilizers

FAR EAST 

China  Space: taikonauts break the codes, Philippe Coué, Asie21

China – United States  China in comfort, in the Caribbean, Edouard Valensi, Asie21

China – United States – Taiwan Telephone interview between the two Ministers of Defense. Reflections from the East, reflections from the West, Catherine Bouchet-Orphelin, Asie21  

Japan – Indo-Pacific  Is Japan the United States’ emissary in the Indo-Pacific? Daniel Schaeffer, Asie21

Box 1 Fumio Kishida’s meeting schedule

Taiwan – United States  « Making Taiwan the best partner for America’s reindustrialization »Mrs. Tsai’s dream?「使台灣成為美國再工業化的最好夥伴」, Catherine Bouchet-Orphelin, Asie21

SOUTHEAST ASIA

Indonesia  Under the microscope, Rémi Perelman, Asie21

Indonesia – China – South Korea  Chinese and South Korean investments in the battery and electric vehicle industry, Laurent Amelot, Asie21

SOUTH ASIA

India – Ukraine – Russia – USA – Europe  India’s attitude towards the war in Ukraine and its consequences, Alain Lamballe, Asie21

PACIFIC

Solomon Islands – China – Australia  Chinese influence in the Commonwealth, Guillaume Bombenger, guest author Asia21

Box 1 Solomon Islands: recognition of the PRC, a pragmatic choice?

Box 2 Soft power and climate change

Box 3  Australian » Cuban missile crisis and grey areas.

2- GRAPPLING

Australia – CPLP Application 

China – Mozambique  Beijing welcome

India – Mozambique – Brazil  Jindal must do better

Macau – China  Call to Beijing

Macau – Equatorial Guinea  Accession

East Timor – China  Large bay

3 – ALERTS

Russia  The nauseating propaganda of Ukrainian wheat, Maurice Rossin, Asie21

4 – POINTS TO WATCH

ASEAN Cambodia, Indonesia and Thailand to host various world leaders in November 2022, Patrick Hébert, Asie21

China – United States  Hikvision, next target US sanctions, Laurent Amelot, Asie21

China – Iran Defense: the Tehran-Beijing agreement, Edouard Valensi, Asie21

India  India without a Chief of Defense Staff since December 8, 2021, an example of irrationality, Alain Lamballe, Asie21

India  New constituencies created in Jammu and Kashmir ahead of parliamentary elections, Laurent Amelot, Asie21

Kazakhstan  Between East and West, the oscillations of Kazakhstan, Jean Perrin, Asie21 

Taiwan – China – United States  The National Endowment for Democracy in Taiwan, Catherine Bouchet-Orphelin, Asie21

Taïwan – WHO  Towards a return of Taiwan at the WHO? Laurent Amelot, Asie21